(02-27-2019 01:34 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  Memphis is starting to realize its potential. With the conference tourney on their home court and the way Jeremiah is playing they can definitely win it all. Don't agree with the idea that the conference could get 6 teams in though. 5 max and probably only 4 but 3 isn't even out of the question at this point. There are several conferences that could wind up producing bid thieves so there may not be as many at-larges available.

I feel an 8 seed is still possible for Cincy, but going 2-0 @SMU and Memphis would set their ceiling at a 7.

Only way they can move to a 4/5 is to win out the final 4 and win AAC tourney. They would be 30-4 in that unlikely scenario, can't see that being a 6 seed. They were 30-4 last year and earned a 2 seed (I know different years, but don't think its worth more than 2/3 seeds)

Memphis giving up a double digit lead in the second half at home against Cincy must be hurting Memphis fans right now. If they hold on, they’re probably in the NCAA field right now. [/quote]

(02-27-2019 02:28 PM)kskenyon4 Wrote:  

(02-27-2019 01:34 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote:  Memphis is starting to realize its potential. With the conference tourney on their home court and the way Jeremiah is playing they can definitely win it all. Don't agree with the idea that the conference could get 6 teams in though. 5 max and probably only 4 but 3 isn't even out of the question at this point. There are several conferences that could wind up producing bid thieves so there may not be as many at-larges available.

I feel an 8 seed is still possible for Cincy, but going 2-0 @SMU and Memphis would set their ceiling at a 7.

Only way they can move to a 4/5 is to win out the final 4 and win AAC tourney. They would be 30-4 in that unlikely scenario, can't see that being a 6 seed. They were 30-4 last year and earned a 2 seed (I know different years, but don't think its worth more than 2/3 seeds)

I think UC finishes the year 3-1 and at least makes the AACT final. Seeding will be a bit interesting this year, one because of the NET, and two because of that inexplicable loss to ECU. That loss I think cost yall a whole seed line possibly two. I think Cincy's seed range this year is between a 5-7 seed. I suppose winning out completely and beating Houston twice might be enough to sneak yall into a 4 seed but I think Houston making the conference finals is key to that happening. If we get knocked off early by say Memphis, then that would take away a signature win from yall. If I had to guess I'd say yall end up with a #6 seed, which is a solid enough position to make a run (UConn was a #6 a few years ago when they won it).

(02-27-2019 02:41 PM)Joprior23 Wrote:  Memphis giving up a double digit lead in the second half at home against Cincy must be hurting Memphis fans right now. If they hold on, they’re probably in the NCAA field right now.

[/quote]

I think the Tech game is the one they're really kicking themselves over. I mean they led by double digits for the majority of the game and were still up by 8 within the final 7 minutes.

We’re about 30 minutes of basketball away from being a lock -
Last 7 minutes vs Texas Tech
5-6 minute stretch vs Cincy
Play just a decent 10 minutes in 1st half at USF
Last 5 minutes at UCF
Beat Charleston

We’d be 23-6 (13-3) with 3 more quality wins and I’d gues a 5/6 seed. Just the way it goes some years but not bad for a 1st year staff & team of mostly jucos

(02-27-2019 03:40 PM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  We’re about 30 minutes of basketball away from being a lock -
Last 7 minutes vs Texas Tech
5-6 minute stretch vs Cincy
Play just a decent 10 minutes in 1st half at USF
Last 5 minutes at UCF
Beat Charleston

We’d be 23-6 (13-3) with 3 more quality wins and I’d gues a 5/6 seed. Just the way it goes some years but not bad for a 1st year staff & team of mostly jucos

If if’s and but’s were candy and nuts we’d all be in the tourny

(02-27-2019 03:57 PM)MTXE Wrote:  

(02-27-2019 03:40 PM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  We’re about 30 minutes of basketball away from being a lock -
Last 7 minutes vs Texas Tech
5-6 minute stretch vs Cincy
Play just a decent 10 minutes in 1st half at USF
Last 5 minutes at UCF
Beat Charleston

We’d be 23-6 (13-3) with 3 more quality wins and I’d gues a 5/6 seed. Just the way it goes some years but not bad for a 1st year staff & team of mostly jucos

If if’s and but’s were candy and nuts we’d all be in the tourny

True, but our future is a hell of a lot brighter than yours. We have a shot to win our way in on our home court. You have none. Then there’s that whole recruiting thing going forward

(02-27-2019 03:40 PM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  We’re about 30 minutes of basketball away from being a lock -
Last 7 minutes vs Texas Tech
5-6 minute stretch vs Cincy
Play just a decent 10 minutes in 1st half at USF
Last 5 minutes at UCF
Beat Charleston

We’d be 23-6 (13-3) with 3 more quality wins and I’d gues a 5/6 seed. Just the way it goes some years but not bad for a 1st year staff & team of mostly jucos

We're only 38 points from being undefeated
And a fluke Nevada run from being in the Sweet 16
And a Kenyon Martin broken leg away from our 7th national title
And a UCLA John Wooden hire away from our 4th, 5th, and 6th national titles
And a 1963 Loyola tip-in from our 3rd national title

This is fun.

Whatever the seeding and whatever the teams I just hope the AAC goes deep in the tourney this year.

I think UC can get a 5 seed.

It obviously would take winning out.

Today they have 3 tier 1 wins. And 5 tier 2

If they win out, they’d have 5 tier 1 and 7 tier 2... that’s very much inline with a 5 seed.

Also, IF UCF can win tonight , it could propel them to being a top 30 team which would boost Houston and Cincinnati’s Tier 1 total.

Add In that Houston’s resume could also be boosted if Utah state breaks into the top 30, it’s currently at 33.


Basically there are a whole lot of moving parts this season and teams resume could shake out completely different by the end of the regular season




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(02-27-2019 04:23 PM)geef Wrote:  

(02-27-2019 03:40 PM)MemTigers1998 Wrote:  We’re about 30 minutes of basketball away from being a lock -
Last 7 minutes vs Texas Tech
5-6 minute stretch vs Cincy
Play just a decent 10 minutes in 1st half at USF
Last 5 minutes at UCF
Beat Charleston

We’d be 23-6 (13-3) with 3 more quality wins and I’d gues a 5/6 seed. Just the way it goes some years but not bad for a 1st year staff & team of mostly jucos

We're only 38 points from being undefeated
And a fluke Nevada run from being in the Sweet 16
And a Kenyon Martin broken leg away from our 7th national title
And a UCLA John Wooden hire away from our 4th, 5th, and 6th national titles
And a 1963 Loyola tip-in from our 3rd national title

This is fun.

Memphis is an SAT away from a runner up in 08

(02-27-2019 05:36 PM)cotton1991 Wrote:  Whatever the seeding and whatever the teams I just hope the AAC goes deep in the tourney this year.

Absolutely, the AAC needs a deep run to garner broad respect from the NCAA community - and to put down this mythical notion of the P5 mentality related to college basketball.

(02-27-2019 05:53 PM)justinhub2003 Wrote:  I think UC can get a 5 seed.

It obviously would take winning out.

Today they have 3 tier 1 wins. And 5 tier 2

If they win out, they’d have 5 tier 1 and 7 tier 2... that’s very much inline with a 5 seed.

Also, IF UCF can win tonight , it could propel them to being a top 30 team which would boost Houston and Cincinnati’s Tier 1 total.

Add In that Houston’s resume could also be boosted if Utah state breaks into the top 30, it’s currently at 33.


Basically there are a whole lot of moving parts this season and teams resume could shake out completely different by the end of the regular season




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Not sure I see this happening. They would have to win out I think. It's possible, but not probable.

Unfortunately Memphis kind of ran out of opportunities. They would need to finish out winning and drop the AAC tourney game to get in and have Yale, South Dakota St, and probably somebody else ooc get in and look a threat, while other marginal teams on the bubble now out. Their tier wins are what would keep them out not their rank.

They will definitely be a threat to take the autobid and doing so get a "decent" seed with a favorable match up and a red hot Martin pushing them.

Penny has so far been a high B level on the coaching grade scale. Looks still a bit vulnerable in tactics. Good motivator for the team so far. His tactics could catch up, because he hasn't had a lot of opportunities yet to work on them as the games have rarely finished as one or two possession games we just don't know yet.

One thing he can do that should have Memphis fans excited, is Penny comes with all the street cred. Personally I felt the biggest threat to Memphis would be the inability of the local kids to get past the hype machines that can build and everything that comes with those situations.

Martin is such a good kid and right now the relationship Penny has built with him will insulate the program from what I think ultimately allowed the issue with the Lawsons to become a problem. Everyone knows Penny said listen to me, block the rest out. When the next local kid comes in and has other things in his ear, Penny will be able to snap them back. "Listen to me, be like Martin" except he won't even have to say it, it will just be how it is. That's a foundation of Penny's program now and one that will pay off big time.

Martin was really coming on last year before the injury, but not to this extent. Missed most of the Wichita/Memphis game but he clearly was a big push in that one. Caught most of the temple game and he was decisive in that. This could turn into a Shibazz Napier type year/run for him.

(02-27-2019 02:41 PM)Joprior23 Wrote:  Memphis giving up a double digit lead in the second half at home against Cincy must be hurting Memphis fans right now. If they hold on, they’re probably in the NCAA field right now.

Gave up double digit lead in that game and giving up double lead against Texas Tech are the ones that hurt the most.

updated seed list from bracketville- #2 bracketologist....
12 Houston- lowest 3 seed
23 Cincy- 6 seed
37 UCF(12th team in)- highest 10 seed
47 Temple(2nd team in)- 12 seed, first four
74 Memphis(6th team out)

(03-04-2019 08:59 AM)stever20 Wrote:  updated seed list from bracketville- #2 bracketologist....
12 Houston- lowest 3 seed
23 Cincy- 6 seed
37 UCF(12th team in)- highest 10 seed
47 Temple(2nd team in)- 12 seed, first four
74 Memphis(6th team out)

boy....UCF as a 10 is not bad. I'd acturally rather see them a 12 because i think they would take out an unsuspecting 5.

Either way, I think UCF could make a little splash.

I expect UH to at least get to the S16 this year.

I figure UC and Temple play one game and go home.

(03-04-2019 11:37 AM)Bearcats#1 Wrote:  

(03-04-2019 08:59 AM)stever20 Wrote:  updated seed list from bracketville- #2 bracketologist....
12 Houston- lowest 3 seed
23 Cincy- 6 seed
37 UCF(12th team in)- highest 10 seed
47 Temple(2nd team in)- 12 seed, first four
74 Memphis(6th team out)

boy....UCF as a 10 is not bad. I'd acturally rather see them a 12 because i think they would take out an unsuspecting 5.

Either way, I think UCF could make a little splash.

I expect UH to at least get to the S16 this year.

I figure UC and Temple play one game and go home.

UCF is trending higher than a 10. I'm guessing - barring a loss in their first AAC tourney game - that 10 is the lowest possible seed for them. They'll likely land on the 8/9 line.

The 8/9 Seed Line sucks. Much rather get a 10 Seed and avoid a #1. This season has several teams that could end up as a 1 or a 2 though.

Either way, first time UCF as an at-large ever... I’ll take it. Awesome to finally see the Knights involved, I’ve been following since the TAAC days (became the ASun).